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intermittent-demand

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A production-ready, end-to-end system for spare parts inventory management. This project combines advanced forecasting (TSB, Prophet, SARIMAX), mathematical optimization (CPLEX), and supply chain simulation (anyLogistix) to achieve 98.9% forecast accuracy and a 39% ROI improvement.

  • Updated Jul 12, 2025
  • Jupyter Notebook

Benchmarking time-series foundation models (Chronos-Bolt, zero-shot) vs. supervised (PatchTST) and classical (seasonal-naive, Croston) baselines on the M5 Walmart dataset, scored with MASE and WQL. No single model dominates: foundation/deep models win on dense SKUs, classical methods win on the intermittent tail.

  • Updated Jun 14, 2026
  • Python

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