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  1. bp-dual-chokepoint-equity-stress-model bp-dual-chokepoint-equity-stress-model Public

    Monte Carlo equity stress model for BP under Hormuz and Red Sea disruption scenarios.

    Python

  2. executive-protection-risk-intelligence-model executive-protection-risk-intelligence-model Public

    Multi-layer OSINT executive protection risk model combining country risk, city-level ACLED analysis, geospatial mapping, airport/medical access proxies, and trip-level protective intelligence postu…

    Python

  3. tennessee-domestic-security-finance-risk-model tennessee-domestic-security-finance-risk-model Public

    County-level OSINT model for Tennessee domestic security, illicit-finance vulnerability, operational-risk context, and non-scoring reference appendices.

    Python

  4. us-civil-conflict-escalation-risk-model us-civil-conflict-escalation-risk-model Public

    Historical U.S. state-month escalation-risk research model with staged validation, actor-semantic auditing, Monte Carlo robustness, event-data sensitivity, and failure-mode analysis.

    HTML

  5. us-middle-east-strategic-withdrawal-model us-middle-east-strategic-withdrawal-model Public

    Transparent counterfactual model of actor responses and economic stress under alternative U.S. military withdrawal scenarios in the Middle East.

    Python

  6. xom-compound-oil-shock-model xom-compound-oil-shock-model Public

    Scenario-based Python model translating prolonged Hormuz and Russian oil infrastructure disruptions into ExxonMobil earnings, free cash flow, and conditional equity valuation ranges.

    Python