Software developer working across quant finance, real-time systems, and AI tooling.
I write code; occasionally it works.
4 sessions · 100% hit rate · best streak 4 · 1 exact / 1 near / 2 beat / 0 miss
📊 2026-09 earnings report: 1 session, 0% hit rate, probability -0.2pts. The alpha is imaginary but the vibes are quarterly-confirmed.
| Date (IST) | Forecast | Shipped | Result | Δ pts | Hire probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 (today) | 11–43 | ⏳ | Market open | ||
| 2026-10-03 | 11–43 | 38 | ✅ Exact hit | +0.88 | 3.51% |
| 2026-10-02 | 4–42 | 43 | 🚀 Beat | +1.01 | 2.63% |
| 2026-10-01 | 5–42 | 4 | 🟢 Near hit | +0.10 | 1.62% |
| 2026-09-30 | 5–42 | 50 | 🚀 Beat | +1.10 | 1.52% |
How does this work? (a.k.a. why is this in my README)
- Every day at 00:05 IST a GitHub Action forecasts a range for the day: the 7 day trailing window, trimmed — the smallest and largest are dropped, so one monster day can’t turn every forecast into a shrug. It lands about half the time.
- Counts are the commits that still exist on my repos' default branches, so
git logagrees with me. GitHub's contribution graph never retracts a commit — rebased and amended work stays counted forever, and it claimed 74 for a day with 38 commits in it. - The next midnight it fetches my real commit count and settles the trade.
- Points follow the work: 0 for a day with no commits, up to 1 for matching the top of the range, and up to 1.5 for beating it. Streaks add a small bonus.
- Landing inside the range is a hit, 1 under is a near miss, further under is -0.25, and no commits on a day that expected work is -0.5.
- Shipping more is never punished. Beating the top of the range is the best possible day, and the score keeps climbing with the overshoot.
- Market manipulation means one thing only: 10+ commits within 60 minutes in this profile repo — the only way to game the contribution graph. Overachieving a low forecast across real repos is not a crime. Penalty: -1.5 pts.
- Visitors: 👍/👎 on today's voting issue to predict whether the bot hits. No prize, just bragging rights.
- Monthly: on the 1st, an earnings report summarises the previous month.
- Probability is 100% fiction. The 100% real part: I actually ship code, and I'm actually looking for a job.
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