Scenarios 2026 - #174

Draft

lindnemi wants to merge 127 commits into

mainfrom

Commits on Feb 20, 2026

Allow overwriting docs URL; select correct default config in test (#2087)
brynpickering
authored
ec5a93b
Link release badge to documentation (#2089)
lindnemi
authored
a1b452f

Commits on Feb 24, 2026

fix: don't mutate config in cluster_network (#2091)
lkstrp
authored
7b97305
build: use /workspace as dev-env container workdir (#2095)
lkstrp
authored
e250075
fix: lower the lower bound for power grouping years (#2097)
tgilon
authored
abb2068
chore: remove duplicated OCGT in test config files (#2094)
tgilon
authored
90b464d
chore: remove duplicated OCGT in test config files (#2094)
tgilon
authored
025c72f
build: install pixi env persistent with auto-symlink entrypoint (#2098)
lkstrp
authored
18f8c81

Commits on Feb 25, 2026

refactor: use scripts path provider consistently (#2093)

tgilon
and
lkstrp
authored
b012517
feat: setup pypsa-bot github app (#2099)

authored
4a3906e

Commits on Feb 26, 2026

fix: validator config (#2102)
lkstrp
authored
34204dd

Commits on Feb 27, 2026

Update industry reference year to 2023 (#2103)

authored
5f62639

Commits on Mar 2, 2026

Commits on Mar 6, 2026

Commits on Mar 16, 2026

chore(deps): bump dorny/paths-filter in the github-actions group (#2119)
dependabot[bot]
authored
4d83a9b
doc: update the PR template (#2118)

tgilon
and
lkstrp
authored
960ff53
Update solve_network.py (#2107)

toniseibold
and
lkstrp
authored
3f76942
[github-actions.ci] Update locked envs (#2120)

authored
f85d295

Commits on Mar 18, 2026

Commits on Mar 19, 2026

ci: validation runs via pypsa-app (#2123)

lkstrp
and
pypsa[bot]
authored
25f8ee4

Commits on Mar 23, 2026

test: trusted user (#2125)
daniel-rdt
authored
c5b534d

Commits on Mar 25, 2026

fix: clamp s/p_nom_max in brownfield to prevent floating-point infeasibility (#2115)

authored
192857b

Commits on Mar 30, 2026

Commits on Apr 1, 2026

chore(deps): bump prefix-dev/setup-pixi in the github-actions group (#2132)
dependabot[bot]
authored
cb9ebde

Commits on Apr 8, 2026

perf: use chunks="auto" in a single thread (#2137)

coroa
and
pypsa[bot]
authored
c8fd89c

Commits on Apr 13, 2026

[pre-commit.ci] pre-commit autoupdate (#2134)

pre-commit-ci[bot]
and
lkstrp
authored
22c92a8

Commits on Apr 14, 2026

fix: remove asynchronous model for distributed client (#2149)
coroa
authored
abea573
fix: blacklist atlite 0.5.0 (#2150)

coroa
and
pypsa[bot]
authored
f5ec6e6

Commits on Apr 15, 2026

paste scenarios file from last report
lindnemi
committed
d03edca
remove old scenarios
lindnemi
committed
0ce157c
oriente towards new scenario definitions
lindnemi
committed
4587e16
define new scenario and get it running
lindnemi
committed
91e3371
rename
lindnemi
committed
227d3a6

Commits on Apr 16, 2026

[github-actions.ci] Update locked envs (#2133)

authored
f6d5fee

Commits on Apr 20, 2026

avoid accidental mutations of input data
lindnemi
committed
e44b3f3
update to new naming
lindnemi
committed
617b410
clean-up scenarios automated
lindnemi
committed
0b67d1c
define a 85 percent iin 2040 scenario
lindnemi
committed
5e77f75

Commits on Apr 23, 2026

feat: improve config validator for scenario management (#2155)
daniel-rdt
authored
918debe

Commits on Apr 27, 2026

Merge branch 'main' into scenarios-2026
lindnemi
authored
fda902c

Commits on Apr 28, 2026

Commits on Apr 29, 2026

update szenario config

lindnemi
and
Copilot
committed
3be745a
adm clustering with post discretization
lindnemi
committed
c6c30a7
Merge remote-tracking branch 'upstream/master' into merge-master-april-26
lindnemi
committed
ea07410
update lockfile
lindnemi
committed
2c55375
fix pydantic errors
lindnemi
committed
51dece2
Merge branch 'merge-master-april-26' into scenarios-2026
lindnemi
committed
91bc024

Commits on Apr 30, 2026

revert back to focus weight clusters
lindnemi
committed
025214a
more generous line threshold during post discretization
lindnemi
committed
9053558

Commits on May 11, 2026

onwind & offwind:
lindnemi
committed
59a1352

Commits on May 12, 2026

adjust onwind progression
lindnemi
committed
ee262f8
remove solar_correction factors (which were adjusted to wy 2019 not 2013)
lindnemi
committed
a0c325d
2035 EU co2 target oriented towards upper range of NDC
lindnemi
committed
5ce2bfe
apply 0.7 as discount rate for decentral assets as well
lindnemi
committed
bca91ea
add grid reinforcement costs to solar rooftop as well
lindnemi
committed
94b0657
new prefix
lindnemi
committed
9d601e3
losses for retrotfitted H2 pipelines
lindnemi
committed
2efb929
remove grid reinforcement costs again for solar rooftop
lindnemi
committed
f368341

Commits on May 13, 2026

further downscale wind
lindnemi
committed
d23d831

Commits on May 20, 2026

use a capacity limit to limit existing solar hsat in DE
lindnemi
committed
0e04bea
use a budget for consumption of decentral heat pumps
lindnemi
committed
a0419ab
do not use UBA data for 2025, but only ariadne data
lindnemi
committed
5ee6dde
fix missing efficiency when overwriting FE demand for EVs
lindnemi
committed
4436c07
bump prefix
lindnemi
committed
c4cc57b
2023 data is much closer to 2025, so the industry progression should be slowed down
lindnemi
committed
889924e
HVC primary fraction was inconsistent with pypsa-eur, causing slight overestimation
lindnemi
committed
396305b
scale electricity load towards 2025 AGEB values
lindnemi
committed
2e6d5f1

Commits on Jun 8, 2026

update mock_snakemake arguments
lindnemi
committed
926d50f
improve naming
lindnemi
committed
3c91f3c

Commits on Jun 9, 2026

Commits on Jun 10, 2026

less ambitious lower limits for wind capacity
lindnemi
committed
fb78824

Commits on Jun 11, 2026

still recalibrating wind FLH
lindnemi
committed
f2505b3
account conncetion investment separately
lindnemi
committed
6830ed6
account biomethane
lindnemi
committed
335818e
correct for excess elec demand in industry in 2025
lindnemi
committed
e27ed78

Commits on Jun 12, 2026

higher costs for offshore wind from ISE
lindnemi
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a989be2
prefix
lindnemi
committed
d922eaa

Commits on Jun 13, 2026

fix cost csvs
lindnemi
committed
1bee705

Commits on Jun 15, 2026

fix: activate electrolysis minimum cap
lindnemi
committed
613dcc8
Account for non-CO2 GHG and Land Sink in EU co2_budget
lindnemi
committed
70b2955
fix: rename nice_names as well when clustering heat buses
lindnemi
committed
43ee51f

Commits on Jun 25, 2026

reduce space with relative factor for 2013 -> 2019/2024
lindnemi
committed
89b5250
all required ref scenarios are now available
lindnemi
committed
12bde77

Commits on Jun 26, 2026

improve computation of EU co2 budget
lindnemi
committed
cc64b69

Commits on Jul 7, 2026

consistency: net biomass imports always positive
lindnemi
committed
47527a1
improve consdtraint pathways for Elec and H2 scenarios
lindnemi
committed
91f0e33

Commits on Jul 8, 2026

define a plausible trajectory for hydrogen ramp up in H2 scenario
lindnemi
committed
5ae6b6a
imrpove some exports
lindnemi
committed
f96b671

Commits on Jul 13, 2026

introduce lignite and coal limits, harmonize production limits constraint
lindnemi
committed
8bedebd

Commits on Jul 16, 2026

add biogas CHP; partially re-align add_existing_baseyear with upstream
lindnemi
committed
32b6048
eliminate redundancies with base scenario
lindnemi
committed
d8c68d0
deactivate ban on new gas boilers
lindnemi
committed
1b2503d

Commits on Jul 17, 2026

improve scenario definition and correct keys
lindnemi
committed
d4f2965
account biomethan and biogas separately
lindnemi
committed
ad54878

Commits on Jul 23, 2026

add biogas CHP
lindnemi
committed
4d25fe3
increase sequestration potential in Elec_plus (according to Szenarienrahmen assumptions)
lindnemi
committed
f8f8a2a

Commits on Aug 3, 2026

more biomass in Elek+
lindnemi
committed
74b9f46
scale existing gas capa
lindnemi
committed
a57b5e7
biogas must run
lindnemi
committed
2d69bbe
more carriers for eleba plot
lindnemi
committed
fa6b223

Commits on Aug 4, 2026

add a basic exporter for electricity timeseries
lindnemi
committed
3ccf0a9
protoype for exporting NUTS runs regionally
lindnemi
committed
ea69344

Commits on Aug 5, 2026

define scenario without transmission expansion
lindnemi
committed
7b6b057

Commits on Aug 7, 2026

plot 2025 and 2030 as well
lindnemi
committed
3c2137a

Commits on Aug 10, 2026

use historical transport data for 2025
lindnemi
committed
9c50b67
reduce GCS potential
lindnemi
committed
c46edcd
constraint allowable solid biomass in building heating to roughly today's value
lindnemi
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8888f10
typo
lindnemi
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ea210c1
use UBA data for 2030 transport
lindnemi
committed
27d0944

Commits on Aug 11, 2026

more robust constraint building
lindnemi
committed
0f843d7
only scale DE elec load, instead of all of EU
lindnemi
committed
b996c07
slightly smaller 2025 co2 budget
lindnemi
committed
cd966d8
slow down district heat progression, because 2025 model results already exceed AGEB
lindnemi
committed
efd9268
allow less elec imports in 2025, because weather 2012 allowed for more RES generation than real 2025
lindnemi
committed
c5c8c0a
Restrict nuclear capacity factors to 0.9
lindnemi
committed
d2a2454
fine_tuning
lindnemi
committed
f8bc0b8

Commits on Aug 12, 2026

only scale DE heat load, not EU
lindnemi
committed
38ec12b
increment prefix
lindnemi
committed
73f635e
no retrofit in CurPol
lindnemi
committed
9ca34c1