docs(research): renumber duplicated recovery-register entries and close paren

docs/research/multilevel-event-time-recovery.md

@@ -102,11 +102,11 @@ This slice stays inside `psychometric_core`. It does not add a second invariance
 96. refuse treating unstandardised `T0MEANS` as `T0MEANSstd`, refuse treating `T0VARstd` as `T0MEANSstd` even when both equal 1, and refuse treating `μ_0 / √asymDIFFUSION` as `T0MEANSstd`;
 97. recover the exact scalar p. 16 `MANIFESTMEANSstd` as `τ / √θ` after forming strictly positive `MANIFESTVAR` `θ` (Driver et al., 2017, p. 16; footnote 4; Table 2, p. 12; Eq. 5, p. 5; 2017-era ctsem `summary.ctsemFit.R`; JSS PDF re-opened 2026-08-25T05:04Z; the 2017-era source forms unstandardised `MANIFESTMEANS` as `mxEval(MANIFESTMEANS, mxobj, compute=TRUE)`; that source does not form a `MANIFESTMEANSstd` matrix; the 2017-era `dimnames` assignment to `list(manifestNames, manifestNames)` on an `n.manifest × 1` matrix is a source bug; a zero mean is exactly zero; `θ = 0` fails closed; a non-event clock fails closed; `MANIFESTMEANS` does not require `a < 0`);
 98. refuse treating unstandardised `MANIFESTMEANS` as `MANIFESTMEANSstd`, refuse treating `MANIFESTVARstd` as `MANIFESTMEANSstd` even when both equal 1, and refuse treating `τ / √(λ² Var(η) + θ)` as `MANIFESTMEANSstd`;
-87. refuse pooling discrete lags from unequal event intervals as one coefficient;
-88. refuse unmatched sampling and constancy intervals for a time-varying predictor (Oud & Jansen, 2000, unread);
-89. refuse the difference quotient as a continuous-time rate;
-90. apply the same event-time map to CWC residuals (still not DSEM);
-89. map already-centered lagged residuals with irregular event intervals without re-centering (Curran & Bauer, 2011, pp. 607–608).
+99. refuse pooling discrete lags from unequal event intervals as one coefficient;
+100. refuse unmatched sampling and constancy intervals for a time-varying predictor (Oud & Jansen, 2000, unread);
+101. refuse the difference quotient as a continuous-time rate;
+102. apply the same event-time map to CWC residuals (still not DSEM);
+103. map already-centered lagged residuals with irregular event intervals without re-centering (Curran & Bauer, 2011, pp. 607–608).
 
 ## Claim boundary
 

docs/validation/temporal-event-foundation.md

@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ This report tracks exact-head scientific and engineering evidence required befor
 | Causal-identification gate | `relation_graph` | active-PR | association ≠ cause | LeadsTo/References denied | ADR 0003; `docs/research/causal-identification-gate.md` |
 | Versioned API/export contracts | `tepp_api` | implemented-main | naruon HTTP interchange | unknown-field/version/limit + naruon HTTPS interchange tests | Task 12 / PR #21; live HTTP service remaining |
 | Simulation cutoff eligibility | `tepp_simulation` | accepted-target | `available_time <= knowledge_cutoff` on PR #62 | delayed-document exclusion, generated-count agreement, exact-boundary admission, and fail-closed `TemporalInvariantViolation` for late documents | ADR 0002; `crates/tepp_simulation/tests/cutoff_eligibility_contract.rs`; `docs/research/simulation-cutoff-eligibility.md` |
-| Psychometric structural input gates | `psychometric_core` | partial | stacked psychometric PR | construct-class refusal + ALR/ILR boundary + true-loading RMSE + posterior-draw point-estimate mean + Rubin `T` + CWC within/between + CWC contextual effect + event-time log-rate + constant- and time-varying-predictor discrete effects + exact scalar discrete process noise + lagged latent covariance and unconditional latent variance + stationary within-subject variance + trait-plus-state variance + observed-indicator variance + discrete latent mean (`T0MEANS`/`CINT`) + evolved observed mean (`τ + λ μ_t`; `τ + λ μ_0` is not `E(y_t)`) + contemporaneous `TDPREDEFFECT` impulse (`m x`; not `CINT`, not `TIPREDEFFECT`, not Voelkle Eq. 14) + Eq. 5 of that contemporaneous impulse (`τ + λ(μ_t + m x)`; `τ + λ μ_t` is not that observed mean) + time-independent `TIPREDEFFECT` increment (`A^{-1}[e^{A Δt} − I] B z`; not `CINT`, not `M x`, not Voelkle Eq. 14, not the coefficient `B`) + Eq. 5 of that increment (`τ + λ(μ_t + A^{-1}[e^{A Δt} − I] B z)`; `τ + λ μ_t` is not that observed mean) + within-interval `TDPREDEFFECT` carry (`e^{A(t−u)} M x` for `t0 < u < t`; not the contemporaneous Dirac, not `CINT`, not `TIPREDEFFECT`, not Voelkle Eq. 14) + Eq. 5 of that carry (`τ + λ(μ_t + e^{a(t−u)} m x)`; `τ + λ μ_t` is not that observed mean) + §7.2 level-change `CINT` (`κ = −a m x`; Eq. 3 increment `(1 − e^{a Δt}) m x`) + §7.2 extra-process contribution (`a_{ηξ} x (e^{ε Δt} − e^{a Δt}) / (ε − a)`; not `κ`, not the increment, not the Dirac; `ε ≥ 0` fails closed) + Eq. 5 of that extra-process contribution (`τ + λ(μ_t + a_{ηξ} x (e^{ε Δt} − e^{a Δt}) / (ε − a)`; extra `LAMBDA` is 0; `τ + λ μ_t` is not that observed mean) + after-t0 extra-process `TDPREDEFFECT` (`a_{ηξ} x (e^{ε(t−u)} − e^{a(t−u)}) / (ε − a)` for `t0 < u < t`; Eq. 5 `τ + λ(μ_t + contribution(t−u))`; not the first-occasion extra-process observed mean; not the impulse-carry Dirac) + §7.2 `asymTIPREDEFFECT` (`-B z / a` for `a < 0`; not `B`, not the finite-interval increment, not `CINT`, not `M x`) + §7.2 `addedTIPREDVAR` (`(B / a)² v`; not `TRAITVAR`, not `asymDIFFUSION`, not `-B z / a`) + Table 2 `asymCINT` (`-κ / a` for `a < 0`; not `κ`, not the finite-interval increment, not `T0MEANS`, not `-B z / a`) + p. 16 stationary `T0MEANS` (`-κ / a + −B z / a`; not free `T0MEANS`, not `asymCINT` alone, not `asymTIPREDEFFECT` alone, not the finite-interval discrete mean) + Eq. 5 of that constrained mean (`τ + λ(−κ / a + −B z / a)`; `τ + λ μ_0` is not that observed mean; `τ + λ(−κ / a)` is not that observed mean when `B z ≠ 0`; `τ + λ μ_t` is not that observed mean; `MANIFESTMEANS` is not `E(y_0)`; the constrained latent mean is not `E(y_0)`) + stationary `T0VAR` (`trait + −q / (2 a) + (B / a)² v`; not free `T0VAR`, not `asymDIFFUSION` alone, not `TRAITVAR` alone, not `addedTIPREDVAR` alone; Eq. 5 is `λ²(trait + −q / (2 a) + (B / a)² v) + θ + ψ` (`λ² p_0` is not `Var(y_0)`; `λ²(−q / (2 a)) + θ` is not `Var(y_0)` when trait or TI is nonzero; `MANIFESTVAR` is not `Var(y_0)`; the constrained latent variance is not `Var(y_0)`)) + Eq. 5 of that constrained variance (`λ²(trait + −q / (2 a) + (B / a)² v) + θ + ψ`; `MANIFESTVAR` is not `Var(y_0)`) + p. 16 `TDPREDEFFECTstd` (`m · √v / √(-q / (2 a))` after strictly positive `asymDIFFUSION` and TD predictor variance; not `TIPREDEFFECTstd` even when `M = B`; not intercept-style `A^{-1}[e^{A Δt} − I] M · √v / √p`; not trait-contaminated) + Table 3 / p. 16 `T0TDPREDEFFECTstd` (`t0_m · √v / √p_0` after strictly positive free `T0VAR` and TD predictor variance; not `TDPREDEFFECTstd`; not `T0TIPREDEFFECTstd` even when `t0_m = t0_b`; not trait-contaminated; free `T0VAR` does not require `a < 0`) + p. 16 `T0VARstd` (`p_0 / p_0 = 1` after strictly positive free `T0VAR`; not unstandardised `T0VAR`; not `T0TDPREDEFFECTstd`; not `addedT0TIPREDVAR`; free `T0VAR` does not require `a < 0`) + p. 16 `TRAITVARstd` (`trait / trait = 1` after strictly positive `TRAITVAR`; no ridge addend; not unstandardised `TRAITVAR`; not `T0VARstd` even when both equal 1; not `addedT0TIPREDVAR`; `TRAITVAR` does not require `a < 0`) + p. 16 `MANIFESTTRAITVARstd` (`ψ / ψ = 1` after strictly positive `MANIFESTTRAITVAR`; 2017-era source adds ridging; default ridge is 0; not unstandardised `MANIFESTTRAITVAR`; not `TRAITVARstd` even when both equal 1; not `MANIFESTVAR`; `MANIFESTTRAITVAR` does not require `a < 0`) + p. 16 `MANIFESTVARstd` (`θ / θ = 1` after strictly positive `MANIFESTVAR`; 2017-era source adds ridging; default ridge is 0; 2017-era `dimnames` assignment to `latentNames` is a source bug; not unstandardised `MANIFESTVAR`; not `MANIFESTTRAITVARstd` even when both equal 1; not Equation 5 `Var(y)`; `MANIFESTVAR` does not require `a < 0`) + p. 16 `TIPREDVARstd` (`v / v = 1` after strictly positive `TIPREDVAR`; 2017-era source adds ridging; default ridge is 0; `dimnames` are `TIpredNames`; not unstandardised `TIPREDVAR`; not `MANIFESTVARstd` even when both equal 1; not §7.2 `addedTIPREDVAR`; `TIPREDVAR` does not require `a < 0`) + p. 16 `asymDIFFUSIONstd` (`p / p = 1` after strictly positive `asymDIFFUSION`; 2017-era source adds ridging; default ridge is 0; `dimnames` are `latentNames`; not unstandardised `asymDIFFUSION`; not `TIPREDVARstd` even when both equal 1; not `DIFFUSIONstd` `−2 a`; lasting `asymDIFFUSION` requires `a < 0`) + p. 16 `discreteCINTstd` (`A^{-1}[e^{A Δt} − I] κ / √p` after strictly positive `asymDIFFUSION`; not unstandardised `discreteCINT`; not `κ / √p`; not `(-κ / a) / √p`; lasting `asymDIFFUSION` requires `a < 0`) + exact scalar p. 16 `asymCINTstd` (`(-κ / a) / √p` after strictly positive `asymDIFFUSION`; not unstandardised `asymCINT`; not `κ / √p`; not `discreteCINTstd`; lasting `asymDIFFUSION` requires `a < 0`) + exact scalar p. 16 `T0MEANSstd` (`μ_0 / √p_0` after strictly positive free `T0VAR`; not unstandardised `T0MEANS`; not `T0VARstd`; not `μ_0 / √asymDIFFUSION`; free `T0MEANS` does not require `a < 0`) + irregular already-centered residual lag + strong-gated latent means (n=2 residual variance is identically `0` and caps at strong/scalar; Putnick & Bornstein, 2016); full ESEM/DSEM remaining | ADR 0005; `docs/research/posterior-esem-input-gates.md`; `docs/research/multilevel-event-time-recovery.md`; `docs/research/rubin-total-variance.md`; `docs/research/strong-invariance-latent-means.md` |
+| Psychometric structural input gates | `psychometric_core` | partial | stacked psychometric PR | construct-class refusal + ALR/ILR boundary + true-loading RMSE + posterior-draw point-estimate mean + Rubin `T` + CWC within/between + CWC contextual effect + event-time log-rate + constant- and time-varying-predictor discrete effects + exact scalar discrete process noise + lagged latent covariance and unconditional latent variance + stationary within-subject variance + trait-plus-state variance + observed-indicator variance + discrete latent mean (`T0MEANS`/`CINT`) + evolved observed mean (`τ + λ μ_t`; `τ + λ μ_0` is not `E(y_t)`) + contemporaneous `TDPREDEFFECT` impulse (`m x`; not `CINT`, not `TIPREDEFFECT`, not Voelkle Eq. 14) + Eq. 5 of that contemporaneous impulse (`τ + λ(μ_t + m x)`; `τ + λ μ_t` is not that observed mean) + time-independent `TIPREDEFFECT` increment (`A^{-1}[e^{A Δt} − I] B z`; not `CINT`, not `M x`, not Voelkle Eq. 14, not the coefficient `B`) + Eq. 5 of that increment (`τ + λ(μ_t + A^{-1}[e^{A Δt} − I] B z)`; `τ + λ μ_t` is not that observed mean) + within-interval `TDPREDEFFECT` carry (`e^{A(t−u)} M x` for `t0 < u < t`; not the contemporaneous Dirac, not `CINT`, not `TIPREDEFFECT`, not Voelkle Eq. 14) + Eq. 5 of that carry (`τ + λ(μ_t + e^{a(t−u)} m x)`; `τ + λ μ_t` is not that observed mean) + §7.2 level-change `CINT` (`κ = −a m x`; Eq. 3 increment `(1 − e^{a Δt}) m x`) + §7.2 extra-process contribution (`a_{ηξ} x (e^{ε Δt} − e^{a Δt}) / (ε − a)`; not `κ`, not the increment, not the Dirac; `ε ≥ 0` fails closed) + Eq. 5 of that extra-process contribution (`τ + λ(μ_t + a_{ηξ} x (e^{ε Δt} − e^{a Δt}) / (ε − a))`; extra `LAMBDA` is 0; `τ + λ μ_t` is not that observed mean) + after-t0 extra-process `TDPREDEFFECT` (`a_{ηξ} x (e^{ε(t−u)} − e^{a(t−u)}) / (ε − a)` for `t0 < u < t`; Eq. 5 `τ + λ(μ_t + contribution(t−u))`; not the first-occasion extra-process observed mean; not the impulse-carry Dirac) + §7.2 `asymTIPREDEFFECT` (`-B z / a` for `a < 0`; not `B`, not the finite-interval increment, not `CINT`, not `M x`) + §7.2 `addedTIPREDVAR` (`(B / a)² v`; not `TRAITVAR`, not `asymDIFFUSION`, not `-B z / a`) + Table 2 `asymCINT` (`-κ / a` for `a < 0`; not `κ`, not the finite-interval increment, not `T0MEANS`, not `-B z / a`) + p. 16 stationary `T0MEANS` (`-κ / a + −B z / a`; not free `T0MEANS`, not `asymCINT` alone, not `asymTIPREDEFFECT` alone, not the finite-interval discrete mean) + Eq. 5 of that constrained mean (`τ + λ(−κ / a + −B z / a)`; `τ + λ μ_0` is not that observed mean; `τ + λ(−κ / a)` is not that observed mean when `B z ≠ 0`; `τ + λ μ_t` is not that observed mean; `MANIFESTMEANS` is not `E(y_0)`; the constrained latent mean is not `E(y_0)`) + stationary `T0VAR` (`trait + −q / (2 a) + (B / a)² v`; not free `T0VAR`, not `asymDIFFUSION` alone, not `TRAITVAR` alone, not `addedTIPREDVAR` alone; Eq. 5 is `λ²(trait + −q / (2 a) + (B / a)² v) + θ + ψ` (`λ² p_0` is not `Var(y_0)`; `λ²(−q / (2 a)) + θ` is not `Var(y_0)` when trait or TI is nonzero; `MANIFESTVAR` is not `Var(y_0)`; the constrained latent variance is not `Var(y_0)`)) + Eq. 5 of that constrained variance (`λ²(trait + −q / (2 a) + (B / a)² v) + θ + ψ`; `MANIFESTVAR` is not `Var(y_0)`) + p. 16 `TDPREDEFFECTstd` (`m · √v / √(-q / (2 a))` after strictly positive `asymDIFFUSION` and TD predictor variance; not `TIPREDEFFECTstd` even when `M = B`; not intercept-style `A^{-1}[e^{A Δt} − I] M · √v / √p`; not trait-contaminated) + Table 3 / p. 16 `T0TDPREDEFFECTstd` (`t0_m · √v / √p_0` after strictly positive free `T0VAR` and TD predictor variance; not `TDPREDEFFECTstd`; not `T0TIPREDEFFECTstd` even when `t0_m = t0_b`; not trait-contaminated; free `T0VAR` does not require `a < 0`) + p. 16 `T0VARstd` (`p_0 / p_0 = 1` after strictly positive free `T0VAR`; not unstandardised `T0VAR`; not `T0TDPREDEFFECTstd`; not `addedT0TIPREDVAR`; free `T0VAR` does not require `a < 0`) + p. 16 `TRAITVARstd` (`trait / trait = 1` after strictly positive `TRAITVAR`; no ridge addend; not unstandardised `TRAITVAR`; not `T0VARstd` even when both equal 1; not `addedT0TIPREDVAR`; `TRAITVAR` does not require `a < 0`) + p. 16 `MANIFESTTRAITVARstd` (`ψ / ψ = 1` after strictly positive `MANIFESTTRAITVAR`; 2017-era source adds ridging; default ridge is 0; not unstandardised `MANIFESTTRAITVAR`; not `TRAITVARstd` even when both equal 1; not `MANIFESTVAR`; `MANIFESTTRAITVAR` does not require `a < 0`) + p. 16 `MANIFESTVARstd` (`θ / θ = 1` after strictly positive `MANIFESTVAR`; 2017-era source adds ridging; default ridge is 0; 2017-era `dimnames` assignment to `latentNames` is a source bug; not unstandardised `MANIFESTVAR`; not `MANIFESTTRAITVARstd` even when both equal 1; not Equation 5 `Var(y)`; `MANIFESTVAR` does not require `a < 0`) + p. 16 `TIPREDVARstd` (`v / v = 1` after strictly positive `TIPREDVAR`; 2017-era source adds ridging; default ridge is 0; `dimnames` are `TIpredNames`; not unstandardised `TIPREDVAR`; not `MANIFESTVARstd` even when both equal 1; not §7.2 `addedTIPREDVAR`; `TIPREDVAR` does not require `a < 0`) + p. 16 `asymDIFFUSIONstd` (`p / p = 1` after strictly positive `asymDIFFUSION`; 2017-era source adds ridging; default ridge is 0; `dimnames` are `latentNames`; not unstandardised `asymDIFFUSION`; not `TIPREDVARstd` even when both equal 1; not `DIFFUSIONstd` `−2 a`; lasting `asymDIFFUSION` requires `a < 0`) + p. 16 `discreteCINTstd` (`A^{-1}[e^{A Δt} − I] κ / √p` after strictly positive `asymDIFFUSION`; not unstandardised `discreteCINT`; not `κ / √p`; not `(-κ / a) / √p`; lasting `asymDIFFUSION` requires `a < 0`) + exact scalar p. 16 `asymCINTstd` (`(-κ / a) / √p` after strictly positive `asymDIFFUSION`; not unstandardised `asymCINT`; not `κ / √p`; not `discreteCINTstd`; lasting `asymDIFFUSION` requires `a < 0`) + exact scalar p. 16 `T0MEANSstd` (`μ_0 / √p_0` after strictly positive free `T0VAR`; not unstandardised `T0MEANS`; not `T0VARstd`; not `μ_0 / √asymDIFFUSION`; free `T0MEANS` does not require `a < 0`) + irregular already-centered residual lag + strong-gated latent means (n=2 residual variance is identically `0` and caps at strong/scalar; Putnick & Bornstein, 2016); full ESEM/DSEM remaining | ADR 0005; `docs/research/posterior-esem-input-gates.md`; `docs/research/multilevel-event-time-recovery.md`; `docs/research/rubin-total-variance.md`; `docs/research/strong-invariance-latent-means.md` |
 | Prompt-versus-unique-content identity | `prompt_source` | accepted-target | active PR | refuse prompt-as-unique/stopword + recovery vs unique-content collapse | ADR 0004/0012 |
 | Corpus-background-versus-unique-content identity | `corpus_background` | accepted-target | active PR | refuse background-as-unique/stopword + recovery vs unique-content collapse | ADR 0004/0012 |
 | Modality-versus-unique-content identity | `modality_source` | accepted-target | active PR | refuse modality-as-unique/stopword + recovery vs unique-content collapse | ADR 0004/0012 |