process_flow.html

<!DOCTYPE html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
<meta charset="utf-8"/>
<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1"/>
<title>alpha_harness — the self-tuning research loop</title>
<style>
  :root{
    --ink:#0f172a; --muted:#64748b; --line:#e2e8f0; --bg:#f8fafc; --card:#ffffff;
  }
  *{box-sizing:border-box}
  body{
    margin:0; background:radial-gradient(1200px 600px at 50% -10%, #eef2ff 0%, var(--bg) 55%);
    color:var(--ink);
    font-family:"Segoe UI", -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;
    -webkit-font-smoothing:antialiased;
  }
  .wrap{max-width:1180px; margin:0 auto; padding:40px 28px 56px}
  .card{
    background:var(--card); border:1px solid var(--line); border-radius:18px;
    box-shadow:0 12px 40px rgba(15,23,42,.08); padding:34px 34px 26px;
  }
  .eyebrow{
    display:inline-block; font-size:12.5px; font-weight:700; letter-spacing:.12em;
    text-transform:uppercase; color:#4f46e5; background:#eef2ff; border:1px solid #e0e7ff;
    padding:5px 11px; border-radius:999px;
  }
  h1{font-size:30px; line-height:1.15; margin:14px 0 8px; letter-spacing:-.02em}
  h1 .mono{font-family:"Cascadia Code", "Consolas", ui-monospace, monospace; color:#4338ca}
  .sub{font-size:16px; color:var(--muted); max-width:860px; margin:0 0 6px}
  .diagram{margin:18px 0 8px; overflow-x:auto; text-align:center}
  .diagram svg{max-width:100%; height:auto}
  .legend{display:flex; flex-wrap:wrap; gap:10px 18px; margin:14px 2px 4px; font-size:13px; color:#334155}
  .legend span{display:inline-flex; align-items:center; gap:7px}
  .chip{width:13px; height:13px; border-radius:4px; display:inline-block; border:1px solid rgba(15,23,42,.18)}
  .stats{
    display:flex; flex-wrap:wrap; gap:10px; margin-top:22px; padding-top:20px; border-top:1px dashed var(--line);
  }
  .stat{
    flex:1 1 150px; min-width:140px; background:#0f172a; color:#e2e8f0; border-radius:12px; padding:13px 15px;
  }
  .stat b{display:block; font-size:21px; color:#fff; letter-spacing:-.01em}
  .stat small{display:block; font-size:11.5px; color:#94a3b8; margin-top:3px; text-transform:uppercase; letter-spacing:.06em}
  .foot{margin-top:18px; font-size:12.5px; color:var(--muted)}
  .foot b{color:#334155}
</style>
</head>
<body>
  <div class="wrap">
    <div class="card">
      <span class="eyebrow">Autonomous quant research · integrity-first</span>
      <h1><span class="mono">alpha_harness</span> — the self-tuning research loop</h1>
      <p class="sub">An always-on, pre-registered, multiple-testing-deflated search for technical&times;fundamental&times;macro
      alpha. It runs unattended every 3 hours across four tracks and refines itself cycle over cycle.
      The audit machinery is the product — it maps what is real, it does not chase a number, and it never trades.</p>

      <div class="diagram" id="diagram">Rendering diagram…</div>

      <div class="legend">
        <span><i class="chip" style="background:#dbeafe;border-color:#2563eb"></i>Scout (ideas)</span>
        <span><i class="chip" style="background:#f1f5f9;border-color:#64748b"></i>Triage / decision</span>
        <span><i class="chip" style="background:#fef3c7;border-color:#d97706"></i>Data-unlock (new PIT inputs)</span>
        <span><i class="chip" style="background:#cffafe;border-color:#0891b2"></i>Pre-register &amp; freeze</span>
        <span><i class="chip" style="background:#ede9fe;border-color:#7c3aed"></i>Audit gates / verdict</span>
        <span><i class="chip" style="background:#fae8ff;border-color:#a21caf"></i>Adversarial refute</span>
        <span><i class="chip" style="background:#dcfce7;border-color:#16a34a"></i>Pass → promote</span>
        <span><i class="chip" style="background:#fee2e2;border-color:#dc2626"></i>Reject / archive</span>
        <span><i class="chip" style="background:#ffedd5;border-color:#ea580c"></i>Fine-tuning feedback loop</span>
      </div>

      <div class="stats">
        <div class="stat"><b>every 3h</b><small>unattended cycle</small></div>
        <div class="stat"><b>4 tracks</b><small>scout · triage · data · validate</small></div>
        <div class="stat"><b>116 trials</b><small>cumulative, pre-registered</small></div>
        <div class="stat"><b>0 PASS</b><small>by design — NO_PASS is valid</small></div>
        <div class="stat"><b>DSR &ge; 0.95</b><small>bar rises every cycle</small></div>
        <div class="stat"><b>$0 / never trades</b><small>capital is human-gated</small></div>
      </div>

      <p class="foot"><b>The fine-tuning loop:</b> every verdict is logged so no idea is ever re-tested, the
      Deflated-Sharpe bar rises with the cumulative trial count, and <b>STRATEGY.md</b> opens/closes research
      "lanes" and seeds the next backlog — so each cycle searches a harder bar with a better-aimed hypothesis.
      Status as of cycle&nbsp;10 (2026-06-28).</p>
    </div>
  </div>

<script type="module">
  import mermaid from 'https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/npm/mermaid@11/dist/mermaid.esm.min.mjs';
  mermaid.initialize({
    startOnLoad:false, theme:'base', securityLevel:'loose',
    flowchart:{ htmlLabels:true, curve:'basis', nodeSpacing:42, rankSpacing:46, padding:8 },
    themeVariables:{ fontFamily:'Segoe UI, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif', fontSize:'14px', lineColor:'#94a3b8' }
  });

  const graph = `flowchart TD
    SCHED([⏱ Scheduled tick · every 3h · headless]):::trigger --> ORCH[orchestrate_tick.py<br/>one tick = one structured record]:::orch

    ORCH --> SCOUT
    subgraph A[" Track A · SCOUT — cheap model, runs every tick "]
        SCOUT[Web search:<br/>papers · practitioner posts · macro news]:::scout --> NORM[Normalize to card schema]:::scout --> DEDUP{New vs<br/>registry?}:::dec
    end
    DEDUP -- duplicate --> DROP["Drop — &quot;nothing new&quot; is a valid result"]:::dead
    DEDUP -- new --> INBOX[(idea_inbox.jsonl)]:::store

    INBOX --> TRIAGE
    subgraph B[" Track B · TRIAGE — deterministic Python · $0 · every tick "]
        TRIAGE{Classify<br/>each card}:::dec
    end
    TRIAGE -- "vague / not PIT-safe" --> REJ[REJECT_UNTESTABLE]:::dead
    TRIAGE -- "exact / fuzzy match" --> REJD[REJECT_DUPLICATE]:::dead
    TRIAGE -- "on-panel but below bar" --> WL[(WATCHLIST)]:::store
    TRIAGE -- "blocked by missing data" --> CDATA
    TRIAGE -- "fresh · on-panel · priority ≥ 6" --> PREREG

    subgraph C[" Track C · DATA-UNLOCK — build NEW point-in-time inputs "]
        CDATA[Scored backlog ·<br/>ONE active build]:::data --> BUILD[Build PIT panel + unit tests<br/>no paywall / ToS bypass]:::data --> NEWCOL[(New PIT factor column)]:::store
    end
    NEWCOL -. "unlocks a new research lane" .-> PREREG

    subgraph D[" Track D · VALIDATION — full audit · only when a candidate exists "]
        PREREG["🧊 Pre-register &amp; FREEZE<br/>prereg.json · sha256 · 3–8 designs"]:::freeze --> BT[Real backtest on PIT panel<br/>L/S spread + long-only book]:::test
        BT --> GATES{{"Audit battery — frozen gates<br/>G1 predictive t&gt;2 · G3 beats synthetic null PSR<br/>G4 DSR&gt;0.95 deflated by CUMULATIVE trials<br/>G5 cost survives · G7 not a sector bet<br/>G8 holdable long-only IR&gt;0<br/>IS/OOS split · FF5+Mom residual-α"}}:::gate
    end

    GATES --> SURV{Survivor?}:::dec
    SURV -- yes --> REFUTE["⚔ Adversarial refutation<br/>Opus · default-to-REFUTE"]:::refute
    SURV -- no --> VERDICT
    REFUTE --> VERDICT{{Verdict}}:::gate

    VERDICT -- PASS --> PROMOTE[Auto-promote → truealpha/]:::pass
    PROMOTE --> HUMAN[["Human-gated live-readiness<br/>→ paper-deploy — SEPARATE step"]]:::human
    VERDICT -- "MARGINAL / NO_PASS" --> ARCHIVE[Archive · honest write-up]:::dead

    ARCHIVE --> REG[(tested_ideas.jsonl<br/>NEVER re-test)]:::store
    PROMOTE --> REG
    REG --> STRAT[/"Update STRATEGY.md<br/>open / close 'lanes' · seed next backlog"/]:::loop
    STRAT --> BAR["⬆ DSR bar RISES<br/>n_trials += designs tested"]:::loop
    BAR -. "next cycle: harder bar, better-aimed search" .-> ORCH

    classDef trigger fill:#1f2937,stroke:#0f172a,color:#ffffff
    classDef orch fill:#334155,stroke:#0f172a,color:#ffffff
    classDef scout fill:#dbeafe,stroke:#2563eb,color:#0b3a82
    classDef data fill:#fef3c7,stroke:#d97706,color:#7c4a03
    classDef test fill:#e0e7ff,stroke:#4f46e5,color:#1e1b4b
    classDef freeze fill:#cffafe,stroke:#0891b2,color:#083344
    classDef gate fill:#ede9fe,stroke:#7c3aed,color:#3b0764
    classDef refute fill:#fae8ff,stroke:#a21caf,color:#4a044e
    classDef dec fill:#f1f5f9,stroke:#64748b,color:#0f172a
    classDef store fill:#f8fafc,stroke:#94a3b8,color:#0f172a
    classDef dead fill:#fee2e2,stroke:#dc2626,color:#7f1d1d
    classDef pass fill:#dcfce7,stroke:#16a34a,color:#14532d
    classDef human fill:#d1fae5,stroke:#059669,color:#064e3b
    classDef loop fill:#ffedd5,stroke:#ea580c,color:#7c2d12`;

  try{
    const { svg } = await mermaid.render('alphaHarnessFlow', graph);
    document.getElementById('diagram').innerHTML = svg;
  }catch(e){
    document.getElementById('diagram').innerHTML =
      '<pre style="color:#dc2626;text-align:left;white-space:pre-wrap">Mermaid render error:\n'+ (e && e.message ? e.message : e) +'</pre>';
    console.error(e);
  }
</script>
</body>
</html>