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| 1 | +{ |
| 2 | + "_meta": { |
| 3 | + "type": "HUF-PHASE-MARKERS", |
| 4 | + "version": "1.0", |
| 5 | + "created": "2026-04-15", |
| 6 | + "author": "Peter Higgins / Claude", |
| 7 | + "purpose": "Machine-readable record of completed and active phases of the Higgins Unity Framework. Each phase marks a coherent body of work that has reached a stable state (or is actively in progress). Phase completion is not retirement — it signals stable foundation for the next phase." |
| 8 | + }, |
| 9 | + |
| 10 | + "phases": [ |
| 11 | + { |
| 12 | + "phase_id": "P01", |
| 13 | + "name": "CoDaWork 2026 submission content", |
| 14 | + "status": "STABLE", |
| 15 | + "marked_stable_date": "2026-04-15", |
| 16 | + "description": "Core compositional-monitoring work submitted to CoDaWork 2026 in Coimbra. Three diagnostics (total variation, Aitchison distance, coherence residual), four EITT proofs, 25-error calibration catalogue, cross-domain validation on Backblaze hardware reliability data, adversarial test suite with 17 total tests (10 pass / 7 designed failures).", |
| 17 | + "contents_stable_at_this_marker": { |
| 18 | + "abstract": "drafts/codawork-2026/abstract_v3.md (submitted); abstract_v4.md (amendment draft pending send)", |
| 19 | + "extended_results": "drafts/codawork-2026/extended/CoDaWork2026_Higgins_Extended_Results.docx", |
| 20 | + "handout": "drafts/codawork-2026/extended/CoDaWork2026_EITT_Handout.docx", |
| 21 | + "presentation_deck": "drafts/codawork-2026/presentation/CoDaWork2026_Higgins_Talk.pptx", |
| 22 | + "primers_for_other_speakers": "drafts/codawork-2026/primers/ (4 primer documents)", |
| 23 | + "science_folders": [ |
| 24 | + "science/coda-monitoring/", |
| 25 | + "science/eitt/ (through EITT_WHY_IT_WORKS.md §7 shape/magnitude decomposition)", |
| 26 | + "science/quantum/ (QIT branch, markdown companions complete)", |
| 27 | + "science/governance/", |
| 28 | + "science/chemistry/" |
| 29 | + ], |
| 30 | + "ai_refresh_layer": "ai-refresh/HUF_FAST_REFRESH.json v1.5 manifest, cold-start test passed by Claude/ChatGPT/Grok/Gemini" |
| 31 | + }, |
| 32 | + "what_stable_means": "The content has passed cold-start testing across four AI systems, survived an adversarial review pass, has empirical validation on real datasets, and is ready to submit to peers. It is not frozen — small edits (typos, clarifications, abstract amendment) are fine — but the core mathematical claims and empirical findings are not expected to change from this point forward without new evidence.", |
| 33 | + "exit_criteria_met": [ |
| 34 | + "Four AI cold-start tests passed (Claude 5/5, ChatGPT 10/10, Grok 10/10, Gemini 5/5)", |
| 35 | + "Second-order Hessian bound formalized in EITT_HESSIAN_BOUND.md", |
| 36 | + "Shape/magnitude decomposition synthesis in EITT_WHY_IT_WORKS.md §7 with Fisher-Rao loose end resolved", |
| 37 | + "Grok tensor-exploration residuals safely contained in dormant/", |
| 38 | + "CoDaWork abstract v4 amendment drafted (pending send)", |
| 39 | + "Literature verification briefings issued to five-AI collective for novelty check" |
| 40 | + ] |
| 41 | + }, |
| 42 | + { |
| 43 | + "phase_id": "P02", |
| 44 | + "name": "EITT hardening for broader adoption", |
| 45 | + "status": "ACTIVE", |
| 46 | + "started": "2026-04-15", |
| 47 | + "estimated_completion": "2026-Q4 to 2027-Q1", |
| 48 | + "mission_statement": "Push EITT to pain point and protect users from pain. Make the tool reliable, accurate, and precise enough that CoDa practitioners can trust it with time-series analysis; document failure modes and boundary conditions clearly enough that no one walks off a cliff with it — especially in high-stakes domains like clinical/biomedical studies where misuse could lead a large-cohort study astray.", |
| 49 | + "two_poles": { |
| 50 | + "pole_A_reveal_hidden_structure": "Reveal the hidden geometry behind hypothesis testing on compositional time series. Document the mathematical substrate clearly enough that a practitioner can understand what EITT is measuring, why the second-order bound has the form it does, and how the shape/magnitude decomposition organizes their analytical choices.", |
| 51 | + "pole_B_establish_safety_fences": "Articulate the boundary conditions where EITT should NOT be applied, the failure modes, the sample-size requirements, and the domain-specific red flags. Especially critical for clinical/biomedical settings where low power, small cohorts, boundary-close compositions, and treatment confounds can turn a reliable method into a misleading one." |
| 52 | + }, |
| 53 | + "planned_deliverables": [ |
| 54 | + "EITT_PHASE_2_ROADMAP.md \u2014 detailed work plan", |
| 55 | + "EITT_SAFETY_BOUNDARIES.md \u2014 'when not to use' documentation", |
| 56 | + "Direct measurement tools (measure_aitchison_variance, measure_tau_int) in chem_eitt_pipeline.py", |
| 57 | + "Validation on hydrology dataset (CAMELS or USGS daily streamflow)", |
| 58 | + "Validation on at least one additional domain (ecological monitoring candidate)", |
| 59 | + "Phase-field visualization of EMBER data as presentation asset", |
| 60 | + "Literature verification results from five-AI collective", |
| 61 | + "Short structural-observations paper on shape/magnitude decomposition (pending novelty verification)", |
| 62 | + "Published Python/R package with documentation and tutorials", |
| 63 | + "Rényi q=2 entropy test at boundaries per prediction 4 in EITT_WHY_IT_WORKS.md" |
| 64 | + ], |
| 65 | + "exit_criteria_planned": [ |
| 66 | + "EITT validated on at least three domains beyond the original four proofs", |
| 67 | + "Direct measurement of \u03c3_A\u00b2 and \u03b4 from raw data replacing back-computed values in Hessian bound table", |
| 68 | + "Safety boundaries document covers at least clinical/biomedical, ecological, and physical-systems cases", |
| 69 | + "Package installable via standard channels (pip, CRAN, etc.)", |
| 70 | + "At least one external researcher has successfully used the tool without direct mentoring", |
| 71 | + "At least one failure mode has been observed in the wild and the safety document updated to prevent recurrence", |
| 72 | + "Literature verification complete; novelty claims either confirmed or properly restricted to pieces that survive" |
| 73 | + ] |
| 74 | + }, |
| 75 | + { |
| 76 | + "phase_id": "P03", |
| 77 | + "name": "Consolidation and peer-reviewed publication", |
| 78 | + "status": "FUTURE", |
| 79 | + "earliest_start": "2027-Q1", |
| 80 | + "description": "After Phase 2 hardening, consolidate the framework into peer-reviewed venues. Candidate papers: structural-observations paper on five-object cluster, methodological paper on EITT for compositional time series, application papers in hydrology and ecology. A short monograph becomes possible when enough predictions have survived contact with reality.", |
| 81 | + "not_started": true |
| 82 | + } |
| 83 | + ], |
| 84 | + |
| 85 | + "operating_principles": { |
| 86 | + "due_diligence": "All exploratory work gets divided into keep (promoted to main repo) or store (archived to dormant/ with reawaken conditions). Nothing is deleted; speculative work is preserved with honest labeling.", |
| 87 | + "open_publication": "All data, code, and documentation are publicly available. Failures and speculative branches are published alongside successes to everyone's gain.", |
| 88 | + "safety_first": "In domains where misapplication could cause harm (clinical, biomedical, regulatory), the safety fence documentation takes precedence over methodological claims. A tool that is clearly bounded is more valuable than a tool that claims more than it can deliver.", |
| 89 | + "cold_start_testable": "Any AI system should be able to read the repo cold and become productively oriented within one file read. ai-refresh/HUF_FAST_REFRESH.json and science/*/INDEX.json are the entry points.", |
| 90 | + "adversarial_review_required": "Every major finding undergoes adversarial review by multiple AI systems before being treated as stable. The review is structured through briefings in briefings/lit-verification-001/ and similar." |
| 91 | + }, |
| 92 | + |
| 93 | + "coordination": { |
| 94 | + "current_collective": ["Claude", "ChatGPT", "Grok", "Gemini", "Copilot"], |
| 95 | + "outstanding_work": { |
| 96 | + "LIT_VERIFY_001": "Five-AI distributed literature verification of the EITT + Tutte + Hanani-Tutte + Penrose + KPZ cluster novelty claim. Issued 2026-04-15. Deadline 2026-04-22. Files in briefings/lit-verification-001/.", |
| 97 | + "abstract_v4_amendment": "Drafted 2026-04-14, pending send to codawork2026@coda-association.org before 2026-05-01." |
| 98 | + } |
| 99 | + } |
| 100 | +} |
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